onlyme

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  1. Agree
    onlyme reacted to Frank Hovis in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    I have noted how a succession of chancellors - Howe, Clark, Major - made great efforts to simplify the tax system and took Tolley's tax manual down from two volumes to one. Starting with Brown and thereafter it has bloated again and all the good work has been undone and more.  There is plenty of work for tax accountants these days.
    What has gone, owing to computers, is the army of clerks that used to total up columns of figures, shuffle and match paper dockets, and work late nights getting the trial balance to balance.
    I would estimate that compared to the late 1980s when computerised systems were only just starting that two thirds of the headcount in finance departments has gone and all from the junior roles.
    It's efficient but there aren't the openings for ambitious younger people that there used to be under the old pyramid structure; juniors can now be in their fifties having done the same job since they were twenty so the ways in for those without experience are very limited.
  2. Agree
    onlyme reacted to Wight Flight in Smart Doorbells   
    No. They don't. Only my wife does. 
    And too late. I bought one anyway. It is being delivered today.
    Or it would be, if only I knew when they were going to deliver it - if only I had some way of them letting me know 
  3. Agree
    onlyme got a reaction from The XYY Man in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    Lack of investment (particularly in manufacturing), which is partly why the productivity figures are so bad. Chromic short-termism has always been one of the UK's biggest failings and the cheap fix of a new low wage source has compounded the problem and allowed more companies to revel in it. We've been had the absurd situation where petrol stations fully kitted out with automated car washing facilities have shut down and in their place hand car washing outfits have popped up and the only one I have the background on has been a succession of unpaid services / rates bills year after year and presmuably no tax paid.
    Accountants still around in numbers largely tanks to the increasingly complex and ever changing tax rules, even then they screw up or HMRC decide the tax laws have been interpreted in the wrong way.  
  4. Agree
    onlyme got a reaction from LC1 in Superglue   
    Mitrebond is the most common once I've seen, buy one pack of that and the spray will way outlast that pack and many , many other tubes of adhesive available cheaply elsewhere, only needs a tiny squirt.
    IIRC the adhesive itself in the bottle was considerably gloopier than many and that did seem to make it particularly good for wood jointing.
  5. Agree
    onlyme got a reaction from spygirl in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    Lack of investment (particularly in manufacturing), which is partly why the productivity figures are so bad. Chromic short-termism has always been one of the UK's biggest failings and the cheap fix of a new low wage source has compounded the problem and allowed more companies to revel in it. We've been had the absurd situation where petrol stations fully kitted out with automated car washing facilities have shut down and in their place hand car washing outfits have popped up and the only one I have the background on has been a succession of unpaid services / rates bills year after year and presmuably no tax paid.
    Accountants still around in numbers largely tanks to the increasingly complex and ever changing tax rules, even then they screw up or HMRC decide the tax laws have been interpreted in the wrong way.  
  6. Agree
    onlyme got a reaction from Frank Hovis in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    Lack of investment (particularly in manufacturing), which is partly why the productivity figures are so bad. Chromic short-termism has always been one of the UK's biggest failings and the cheap fix of a new low wage source has compounded the problem and allowed more companies to revel in it. We've been had the absurd situation where petrol stations fully kitted out with automated car washing facilities have shut down and in their place hand car washing outfits have popped up and the only one I have the background on has been a succession of unpaid services / rates bills year after year and presmuably no tax paid.
    Accountants still around in numbers largely tanks to the increasingly complex and ever changing tax rules, even then they screw up or HMRC decide the tax laws have been interpreted in the wrong way.  
  7. Agree
    onlyme reacted to Frank Hovis in I think the crash has started.   
    Good if they aren't cut but twelve years of taking any excuse for cutting rates and only raising them when there is little other choice makes me pessimistic.
  8. Agree
    onlyme reacted to Tdog in Brexit Betrayal thread - Part 4   
    Strange that a man who gave Scotland and Wales independent governance of sorts, doesnt want it for the whole of the UK.
    Cunt needs a bat round his head.
  9. Agree
    onlyme reacted to lid in Superglue   
    Picked up a book on the development of superglue and couldn't put it down 
  10. Agree
    onlyme got a reaction from Fischer in Tommy Robinson thread   
    Oh I don't know.

  11. Agree
    onlyme got a reaction from Van Lady in Fuckin' Weather   
    I am still amazed at my success in accumulating enough stone for the build, a patio area of 16ftx8ft was filled to above waist height in reclaimed cut/faced natural stone, was not all free but about 20% of the cheapest off the shelf supplier and knocked at least 5k off the build cost. With a bit of luck the auction gods will deliver later this week on another front.  Mind you have been searching for and collecting the stone for 4 years to get to this point.
  12. Agree
    onlyme reacted to NTB in Qanon: high level intel, AI or LARP?!   
    That's absolutely the case for some of it. Q has been clear that it is a mix of info and disinfo. All the intel agencies monitor /pol on 4ch and 8ch and no doubt the cabal as well.
  13. Agree
    onlyme reacted to NTB in Its 'Nick'!   
    Classic diversion case imho. Now any legitimate suspicions can be dismissed as similar fantasy. Had to be a big well publicised expensive case.
  14. Agree
    onlyme got a reaction from One percent in Tommy Robinson thread   
    Oh I don't know.

  15. Agree
    onlyme reacted to Sgt Hartman in Fuckin' Weather   
    I live in my brick collection. 
  16. Agree
    onlyme reacted to ashestoashes in Fuckin' Weather   
    when your collection is complete do you shout house ?
  17. Agree
    onlyme reacted to eek in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    You don't need to read all of it figure 2 will show you enough.
    EU migrants is the area that includes unskilled and semi-skilled labour (remember outside the EU only skilled labour in areas with "required" skills can come in).
    You actually don't need to even follow the chart - in 2005 we let eastern Europeans in and since then wages have been lower than they were....
  18. Agree
    onlyme reacted to ninjaborrower in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    I think construction wagers where kept fairly low in the early 2000s, considering we went through the biggest property bubble in history at the same time
  19. Agree
    onlyme reacted to PatronizingGit in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    They just quote a bunch of other studies...
    Reviewing 12 studies conducted between 2003 and 2018, MAC (2018) concluded that immigration had had little impact on average wages. Some studies (e.g. Nickell and Saleheen, 2015) had found a small negative impact on average wages while others (e.g. Dustmann et al, 2013) found positive average effects.
    As with the impacts on employment and unemployment, several studies have found that effects are different for high vs. low skilled/paid workers. For example, Dustmann et al (2013) find positive effects for most workers but negative effects for the lower paid; they found that a 1 percentage point increase in the ratio of migrants to non-migrants leads to a 0.6% decrease in wages for workers at the 5th earnings percentile and a 0.5% decrease at the 10th percentile. Another study focusing on wage effects at the occupational level found that, in the unskilled and semi-skilled service sector, a 1 percentage point rise in the share of migrants reduced average wages in that occupation by about 0.2% (Nickell and Salaheen 2015).
    The MAC (2018) estimated that an increase in the number of EU migrants corresponding to 1% of the UK-born working-age population resulted in a 0.8% decrease in UK-born wages at the 5th and 10th percentiles (i.e. people in the bottom 5-10% of earners), and a 0.6% increase at the 90th percentile (i.e. high earners). In practice, this means that between 1993 and 2017, the total effect of EU migration on the wages of UK-born workers was estimated to be a 4.9% reduction in wages for those at the 10th earnings percentile, a 1.6% reduction at the 25th percentile, a 1.6% increase at the 50th percentile, and a 4.4% increase at the 90th percentile. The calculation of the total impact should be interpreted with caution, however, because the model estimates the short-run response to migration, which is expected to disappear over time (MAC, 2018: 32).
     
    Like I say though, knowing that you are getting £7.95 an hour instead of £8.00 an hour isnt such an issue as the vast increase in housing cost, the cost of wasted time and fuel due to additional congestion, etc, etc.
     
    From my own experience, Cambridge Uni Press, where I did summer work in the mid 2000s used to pay a pretty good rate for the time (8-9£ an hour IIRC, a couple of quid above NMW)...work was done exclusively by British students the summers i was there (2003,4,5). I left, but I know people who stayed on, who said it became almost exclusively eastern European between 2005-2008. The shut that plant down, built £1million plus houses on the land and moved the warehouse off to Rushden to be managed by DHL who paid/pay the eastern Europeans minimum wage. I'd guess that was a 30-50% reduction in what they'd have to pay British workers. Their books sure as hell didnt get any cheaper though. Someone made money, but that someone probably had plenty of money to begin with. 
  20. Agree
    onlyme got a reaction from mooncat69 in Tommy Robinson thread   
    If you don't get a answer at least one. 
  21. Agree
    onlyme reacted to One percent in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    And you believe them?  
    So, what do they put the depression of wages down to? 
  22. Agree
    onlyme reacted to Sgt Hartman in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    I reckon it's probably dependant on industry.
    Accountancy and surgeons, not so much. 
    I think anyone in construction or the service sector has probably seen their wages take a battering to be honest and by a battering, I mean they've not increased in years as they are competing against an almost indefinite influx of people willing to work for jack shit.
    IMO.
  23. Agree
    onlyme reacted to Tdog in How much do you think immigration has reduced wages?   
    We both got the job on qualifications that enable us to sign off reports, not experience, its more a case that i play hardball as i couldnt care less if i get the work.
    Another example is around 2003 i was working as a painter and decorator on price work, there was one Polish lad who had just come across and was working via a limited company that enabled him to get an NI card (this is before accession) within a month there was about 10 Poles there, the 2nd lot over were working illegally on the first mans NI card all subbying off him, then the batch that followed them were subbying off the 2nd lot that arrived.
    I dont know what they were getting but their price must have been a fraction of mine, and people claim EE's dont bring wages down considerably have never been near a building site. 
    It was also the last time i worked as a decorator thankfully!
  24. Agree
    onlyme got a reaction from RWJ in Reykjavik   
    Stayed in Keflavic which was considerably cheaper base, and half decently priced meals/drinks and spent the savings on hiring a car. A day in Reykjavik was enough (45 mins by car)  for us and the rest a couple of days driving around - mainly golden triangle route(ish), Gulfoss was the stand out feature. Ignored blue lagoon..Not sure whether some routes will already be tricker/impossible to access in November without 4x4, we went late summer when it was all clear, but common locations where roads could be shut off were noticeable.
  25. Agree
    onlyme reacted to Popuplights in Brexit Betrayal thread - Part 4   
    BBC just had an extensive interview with Gordon Brown on the lunchtime news. The usual shit about chaos at Dover etc in the event of no deal. The shameless tosspiece then went on to bemoan how the Tories could have avoided the Brexit vote if they had just sorted out immigration. Yes mate. Just like you didn't.
    Cock.