georgist

Members
  • Content Count

    24
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About georgist

  • Rank
    Member

Recent Profile Visitors

86 profile views
  1. georgist

    The BOMAD Mortgage

    You will be, by proxy. The additional credit supplied will push up prices further, forcing others to bid against them and themselves taking on more debt than would occur without this product.
  2. it's an inevitable consequence of rising rates. as debt burden on landlords rise they search for higher yield. but because they are all unoriginal, stupid and lazy, they all do the same thing. hopefully the state will pick them off for taxes / fines like mad.
  3. This is also happening in Montreal. AirBnb is getting more and more push-back from authorities. Like so many manias, people joining AirBnB now have missed the boat.
  4. Most FTSE 100 are international. This is why @Telegraph has constant "news" that FTSE has dropped but GBP is up, or vice-versa. My point is that you don't need to go to NYSE etc to get out of UK risk.
  5. Hi DB. Glad to see you over here. I also believe there will be a bout of inflation. But I'm not sure how to play it. I have lots of savings, rent a good place and intend to buy in the future. I see most of what is happening now and in the near future as the logical end of a shift in demographics and the end of an insane level of financialisation which could flourish in boomer land. I have a pet theory that we are going to see wage inflation as boomers drop out the work force, causing skilled labour shortages (no, AI won't pick up the slack). Wage inflation is, IMHO, the only thing the establishment give a fuck about. Wage inflation can lead to financial independence, and the only way to choke it off is to raise rates. So, given the above, I think the order of play *could* be: 1. wage inflation (next 1-5 years) 2. closely followed by interest rate rises as boomers will moan if prices rise (next 3-5 years) 3. asset (land) deflation and tax hikes as govt tries to fund boomer luxury (3-5 years) 4. finally, politicians kicking the boomers to the curb as the demographics tilt to non-boomers (5 years +) 5. reflation / inflation / boomers fooked I write the above to be shot down/have others disagree. Will be interested to see what you and others think, as this site has some interesting people.
  6. georgist

    The Big Short Thread

    Yes on the "unlimited" loss, however in practice of course it's not going to infinity. Regarding hedging, you could do that.
  7. georgist

    The Big Short Thread

    Margin call is on the person holding a leveraged position. For example if you are selling puts and have sold at $270 then the more it drops the more you are liable for. Your broker would see your amount on deposit is less than the amount owned and call you to deposit the difference. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/margincall.asp
  8. Disagree. In a situation of shortage of good homes, rents are based on the ability to pay. This is why prices have gone up whilst rents have been more muted. Prices are based on access to credit / ability to pay the interest (and as rates go lower the landlord can service more debt). Rents are based on ability to pay from wages, which have been flat. Rents (and prices) are absolutely not based on costs + some "fair" profit. If rates go up and landlords presently charging 1500 a month need to get 1800 to cover their costs, if the market cannot bear this price then they will have to lose money. Every month.
  9. The sad thing is, were benefits to be lower, rents would be lower. This is why we have to capture public value for public use: tax land, not labour.
  10. FTSE is looking kinda fooked lately, no? 6 month view somewhat vertiginous: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^FTSE With strong USD and CAD both stepping up to rate rises and BoE unable to do anything this is feeling like UK is in a right pickle.
  11. georgist

    Princes of Yen

    I think Werner is a very interesting guy. Would recommend both these videos. Haven't read the book yet, which I imagine has to be far more in depth.
  12. georgist

    Moneyland

    share it with others, the more people that understand that the UK is facilitating money laundering the better. How many lives are cost in helping someone avoid taxes in a developing country, where clean water and hospitals are desperately required?
  13. georgist

    Moneyland

    that film has the perspective that it's run from The City and used as a layer of indirection
  14. georgist

    Moneyland

    http://spiderswebfilm.com/
  15. georgist

    Princes of Yen

    Werner on banks creating money: I should add I really like Princes of Yen. Must read the book.