Hopeful

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Hopeful last won the day on May 16

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  1. These are reasonable graphics, would also apply to the common cold, flu or other coronaviruses of course
  2. Personally, yes, I'm unfamiliar. But I'm pretty strict and hope I know what I'm doing when engaging with journalists. They can speak to me or not - I'm never courting of publicity, which is when shit-speak can creep in. I don't need publicity because I'm not interested in my profile. Quite a few journalists respect me for that, which has helped my profile
  3. There could be two things in play, although we don't know of course as there is no 'control' for the lockdown experiment. 1) Perhaps lockdown broke transmission to cause the decline in mid-April 2) Perhaps it would have been too soon to release lockdown in mid-April as the seasonal effect upon transmission in coronaviruses would not have kicked in fully by then. In otherwords, to release lockdown could have seen an uptick around mid-April raising numbers before the seasonal effect upon transmission dampened cases again in mid-May. Is there any circumstantial evidence that the above might be the case? Perhaps there is, although it is only correlation. The flu season mimics the coronavirus season in terms of its seasonal ending It appears the flu season was abruptly curtailed this year by about 6 weeks. Interestingly, you say lockdown could have finished 2 months earlier, which fits if you think the virus wouldn't have a resurgence. I think there would have been a resurgence as the seasonal effect wouldn't have kicked in by then. Of course, there are factors associated and unassociated with lockdown that could also cause the decline in flu. We'll never know. But, in terms of the seasonal timing of the end of their coronavirus strategy, I think the Government has got it right. The main question is whether we should let SarsCov2 blow through the population and have all the Covid19 mortality at once or have a managed approach. Both approaches will bring significant economic destruction and costs. If you opt for a managed approach then you also have choices in its method.
  4. Well, tbf, and if you notice, that typographical error wasn't within a quote. I only really ever proof read to make sure what I said is reported correctly, that I didn't say something factually incorrect and that my language is unambiguous, although if there are typos I'll pick them up I suspect. I'm very careful when talking to journalists that I'm clear when I'm speaking off the record to explain a topic, often using very unscientifc language, and when I'm saying things tI want them to report. I've never had a problem, so far. Even if off the record stuff creeps in I've always got it removed without a fuss. The only kickback is journalists saying "must you see it?, we are pushed for time". My response is that I'm afriad I must. There is only one journalist I won't work with (at the BBC) because they were once overly pushy in trying to make me fit their agenda, repeatedly saying "it would be much better if you would say" Nope, sorry.
  5. Anything in quotes will be the very words the person said One day is 24 hours, which could be 2 or three shifts, Could be up to 18 peope dying. It's the ward manager making the comments, she'll be looking at the numbers for whole day on her ward, whether she was on duty at the time or not. It is one worst day over the shifts on that day. The article doesn't say anything about that death rate being sustained over consecutive days. You want the article to be rubbish so are making it read what you want it to read. One thing I know is that I'll proof read any artcles I'm guoted in. What appears in quotes will be the person's actual words. The nurse may have made up the data, but the journalist won't have.
  6. Many of these 'gastro' blinged pubs and restaurants are just part of the houseprice ponzi scheme The money being spent in them is by people with more money than sense literally, it's all money they have because of leverage on property or becuase everything they own, that other people cooking their own meals might buy for cash, is on the never never. So their disposable income suports the hospitality sector. It had to collapse at some point.
  7. A summary that was wrong. There is some right twaddle infiltrating this thread,
  8. but it's not what the article says, the journalist quoted correctly
  9. You seem to be just as prone to selective quoting by not including the full quote The quote is ""We have got 48 beds. I think on my worst day, I would say there was about five or six deaths per shift. At the very beginning, it was quite intense.” jeez
  10. it's currently being developed as a tool in the UK
  11. so long as here are no custard creams
  12. 3000 Melburnians are locked in their homes immediately as Victoria orders Australia's first total shutdown after recording 108 positive COVID-19 tests in second worst daily spike since pandemic started https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8489187/Victoria-records-108-new-coronavirus-infections-second-largest-spike-ever.html Coronavirus Australia: Melbourne locks down tower blocks as cases rise https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-53289616
  13. Vitamin D promoted as potential defence against coronavirus Google this link to read the article https://www.ft.com/content/932920f9-f9ae-414a-940f-602169ee620f